Thursday, July 13, 2017

Russia Doesn't Matter: Today's News for July 13th

Before digging into the latest news of Trump's alleged-but-nowhere-near-proven collusion with Russia, consider this:

Wall Street Journal:
Skepticism toward the media is most often associated with conservatives in Middle America, some of whom eat something other than artisanal sandwiches. But this week brings more evidence that investors worldwide have become very reluctant to buy what many established news organizations are selling. How else to explain the collective shrug of the shoulders in financial markets to the latest breathless media reports about alleged collusion between the 2016 Trump campaign and Russia?

Such reports have dominated this week’s news as much of the professional commentariat has pondered out loud whether treason has been committed in the President’s inner circle. Yet after an ever-so-slight hiccup on Tuesday following Donald Trump Jr.’s release of emails regarding a meeting he took last June with a Russian lawyer, stocks drifted higher. Since then, investors have spent much of their time parsing the remarks of Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen. Reassured by her questionable suggestion that interest rates won’t have to rise very fast or very far in the years ahead, they continue to keep market indexes near record levels.

Investors in the aggregate obviously don’t believe that the republic is coming to an end, nor do they seem to expect a wrenching change in U.S. leadership. There have been similar episodes over the last several months of sharp divergence between the collective analytical judgment of journalists and that of investors. This era of reported turmoil has been marked by a striking lack of volatility in the financial markets. Stocks aren’t cheap by historical standards and corrections do happen.

Yet the world’s investors still like U.S. equities, despite constant media reports that U.S. constitutional governance is hanging in the balance. Now let’s look at the general population in the U.S. A new report from the Pew Research Center also suggests that the news media’s credibility problem reaches well beyond the hard-core MAGA crowd. A full 85% of Republicans and those who lean Republican have a negative view of the national news media. And even among Democrats and those who lean Democratic, the press corps is underwater, with 46% holding a negative view compared to 44% holding a positive one.
It is the boy who cried wolf, writ large. What worries me about this story is this: What happens if the media actually manages to prove the Russian collusion story? By then, nobody will believe them.

Speaking of the Russian collusion story...

The Hill:
Seventeen Democrats on the House Judiciary Committee sent a letter on Wednesday to the Justice Department demanding answers as to why the agency abruptly dismissed a money laundering case earlier this year involving the Kremlin-linked attorney who met with Donald Trump Jr. during last year's campaign.

In May, the Department of Justice (DOJ) settled United States v. Prevezon Holdings Ltd., a $230 million fraud and money laundering case that accused Prevezon Holdings executives of fraudulently obtaining a tax refund from the Russian treasury.

In the case, Prevezon was represented by Natalia Veselnitskaya, the Russian attorney who met with Trump Jr. during the campaign after promising incriminating information on Hillary Clinton.
The Justice Department settled the case two days before trial for just $6 million. The letter, which was posted on Twitter Wednesday afternoon, demands to know whether the two events are connected. 
"Two days before this trial was set to begin, the Department agreed to settle this $230 million case for less than $6 million and no admission of wrongdoing," it reads.

"Ms. Veselnitskaya told one Russian news outlet that the penalty was so light 'it seemed almost an apology from the government.'"
According to the letter from the Democrats, the case was settled on May 12, 2017, clearly under the Trump administration.

While this story is curious, it is hardly conclusive. And even if there was actual collusion, I doubt anyone would admit to it. The Russians involved wouldn't admit it, since they were likely involved in illegal activity and got away with it. The Trumps won't admit it because they are already in too much hot water with Russia stories. Don't expect anything useful to ever come from this story.

Also, don't read too much into Ms. Veselnitskaya bragging. Regardless of whether the settlement was good or bad, any settlement has to be painted positively by the lawyers involved. If it wasn't a good settlement, why would they agree to it?

Speaking of Ms. Veselnitskaya...

The Hill:
The Russian lawyer who penetrated Donald Trump’s inner circle was initially cleared into the United States by the Justice Department under “extraordinary circumstances” before she embarked on a lobbying campaign last year that ensnared the president’s eldest son, members of Congress, journalists and State Department officials, according to court and Justice Department documents and interviews.

This revelation means it was the Obama Justice Department that enabled the newest and most intriguing figure in the Russia-Trump investigation to enter the country without a visa.
Just five days after meeting in June 2016 at Trump Tower with Donald Trump Jr., presidential son-in-law Jared Kushner and then Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort, Moscow attorney Natalia Veselnitskaya showed up in Washington in the front row of a House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing on Russia policy, video footage of the hearing shows.

She also engaged in a pro-Russia lobbying campaign and attended an event at the Newseum in Washington, D.C. where Russian supporters showed a movie that challenged the underpinnings of the U.S. human rights law known as the Magnitysky Act, which Russian leader Vladimir Putin has reviled and tried to reverse.

The Magnitsky Act imposed financial and other sanctions on Russia for alleged human rights violations connected to the death of a Russian lawyer who claimed to uncover fraud during Putin's reign. Russia retaliated after the law was passed in 2012 by suspending Americans' ability to adopt Russian children.

At least five congressional staffers and State Department officials attended that movie showing, according to a Foreign Agent Registration Act complaint filed with the Justice Department about Veselnitskaya’s efforts.
Before casting aspersions at Obama's Justice Department, remember Veselnitskaya was working with defense attorneys on the Prevezon case. The fact she was doing lobbying while in the U.S. doesn't necessarily reflect on the Obama administration, unless they knew in advance what she was up to, and there is no indication of that.

Finally, in other news...

Breitbart:

In this editorial written by Republican Senator Rand Paul, he pulls no punches about Trumpcare:
I miss the old days, when Republicans stood for repealing Obamacare. Republicans across the country and every member of my caucus campaigned on repeal – often declaring they would tear out Obamacare “root and branch!”
What happened?

Now too many Republicans are falling all over themselves to stuff hundreds of billions of taxpayers’ dollars into a bill that doesn’t repeal Obamacare and feeds Big Insurance a huge bailout.

Obamacare regulations? Still here. Taxes? Many still in place, totaling hundreds of billions of dollars.

Insurance company bailouts? Those, too. Remember when Republicans complained about Obamacare’s risk corridors? Remember when we called the corridors nothing more than insurance company bailouts? I remember when one prominent GOP candidate during a presidential debate explicitly called out the Obamacare risk corridors as a bailout to insurance companies. Does anyone else?
We are at the point with this legislation that it shouldn't even be called Trumpcare, because it is so close to Obamacare as to be indistinguishable from it.

Wednesday, July 12, 2017

Wednesday Wisdom: R. Buckminster Fuller


"We must do away with the absolutely specious notion that everybody has to earn a living. It is a fact today that one in ten thousand of us can make a technological breakthrough capable of supporting all the rest. The youth of today are absolutely right in recognizing this nonsense of earning a living. We keep inventing jobs because of this false idea that everybody has to be employed at some kind of drudgery because, according to Malthusian-Darwinian theory, he must justify his right to exist. So we have inspectors of inspectors and people making instruments for inspectors to inspect inspectors. The true business of people should be to go back to school and think about whatever it was they were thinking about before somebody came along and told them they had to earn a living."--R. Buckminster Fuller (1895-1983)

The Idiot Son: Today's News for July 12th

As the media stumbles over itself about the newest revelations in the Russian collusion story, specifically regarding Donald Trump Jr., the New York Post sums it up with just an editorial headline:

New York Post:
We see one truly solid takeaway from the story of the day: Donald Trump Jr. is an idiot.

In the heat of your father’s presidential campaign, a bozo British publicist e-mails you to set up a sitdown with a “Russian government attorney” promising “documents and information” to “incriminate Hillary” courtesy of the “Crown prosecutor of Russia” as “part of” the Russian government’s “support” for dad — and you eagerly take the meeting.

“If it’s what you say I love it,” wrote Junior. As if the government of former KGB spymaster Vladimir Putin would do anything so clumsy. (Our former colleague Kyle Smith put it nicely: “Don Jr. is why Nigerian e-mail scammers keep trying their luck.”)
If you happen to think President Trump should be impeached over this story, consider this summary from Scott Johnson at Power Line:
There is no evidence that the Russian lawyer had damaging information to deliver. There is no evidence that the Russian lawyer delivered damaging information. There is no evidence that Trump Jr. asked the Russian lawyer to come back with damaging information. There is no evidence that Trump Jr. would have promised the Russian lawyer anything if she had agreed to return with damaging information. There is no evidence that Trump Jr. came away from the meeting with anything but disappointed expectations.
But if you still want more on the Trump Jr. story, Fox News had an exclusive interview with him last night and CNN is all over it.

In other, real news...

CNN:
China has dispatched troops to Djibouti in advance of formally establishing the country's first overseas military base.

Two Chinese Navy warships left the port of Zhanjiang on Tuesday, taking an undisclosed number of military personnel on the journey across the Indian Ocean.
Consider where Djibouti is:

(hat tip to Penn State University for the map)

Even though China says this isn't about "seeking to control the world", the strategic importance of this move is obvious.

If Arab-sponsored terrorism wasn't enough for you, the addition of China as a strategic player in Middle Eastern politics should give you a little more incentive to disconnect ourselves from that part of the world. And there is only one way to do that: Energy independence.

Tuesday, July 11, 2017

Tuesday Thought: Sharyl Atkisson

Russia Jr. Continues: Today's News for July 11th

New York Times:
Before arranging a meeting with a Kremlin-connected Russian lawyer he believed would offer him compromising information about Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump Jr. was informed in an email that the material was part of a Russian government effort to aid his father’s candidacy, according to three people with knowledge of the email.

The email to the younger Mr. Trump was sent by Rob Goldstone, a publicist and former British tabloid reporter who helped broker the June 2016 meeting. In a statement on Sunday, Mr. Trump acknowledged that he was interested in receiving damaging information about Mrs. Clinton, but gave no indication that he thought the lawyer might have been a Kremlin proxy.

Mr. Goldstone’s message, as described to The New York Times by the three people, indicates that the Russian government was the source of the potentially damaging information. It does not elaborate on the wider effort by Moscow to help the Trump campaign.

There is no evidence to suggest that the promised damaging information was related to Russian government computer hacking that led to the release of thousands of Democratic National Committee emails. The meeting took place less than a week before it was widely reported that Russian hackers had infiltrated the committee’s servers.
If the email offered existing information, then it couldn't have been related to alleged Russian efforts to hack into the DNC servers, since that was done later.

Also, lacking specifics as to what the information was, it is impossible to say Trump Jr. was involved in anything illegal.

In other news...

The Algemeiner:
An award-winning journalist who broke the story of the group of Jewish women ejected from an LGBTQ march in Chicago last month has been reassigned to non-journalistic duties at the paper which ran the original report, the Windy City Times.

Gretchen Rachel Hammond — whose June 24 story caused a national storm after she detailed how three women flying Jewish Pride flags embossed with the Star of David were instructed to leave the gathering by organizers from the Dyke March Collective — confirmed to The Algemeiner on Monday that while she was still employed by the paper, she was not presently engaged in its reporting and writing operations.

“At this time, I have not been fired from Windy City Times, but I have been transferred to working full time for the sales department,” Hammond explained in an emailed statement. “The reasoning is an internal matter and I have been instructed not to comment about it even to close friends. Given my present situation, I must comply with this instruction.”
What is disturbing here is not the action taken by the Dyke March, which is curious but is within their rights, but the action taken against the reporter. Note the Dyke March organizers did NOT deny the actions they took, and even admitted to them. So what the reporter wrote was accurate.

No, the disturbing part is the apparent retribution against the reporter for doing her job. Admittedly, this newspaper is a small operation. But if a small newspaper will take actions against reporters for telling the truth, is it possible that large media operations could do the same?

Finally, the fact the Windy City Times is "Chicago's only weekly LGBT newspaper" does not excuse it from having to report the truth. Being LGBT doesn't entitle you to your own facts. Unless Windy City Times isn't a newspaper and is actually a propaganda paper, in which case, go right ahead.

Monday, July 10, 2017

Monday Motivation: Thomas Paine


"He who dares not offend cannot be honest."--Thomas Paine (1737-1809)

Russia Jr.: Today's News for July 10th

New York Times:
President Trump’s eldest son, Donald Trump Jr., was promised damaging information about Hillary Clinton before agreeing to meet with a Kremlin-connected Russian lawyer during the 2016 campaign, according to three advisers to the White House briefed on the meeting and two others with knowledge of it.

The meeting was also attended by his campaign chairman at the time, Paul J. Manafort, and his son-in-law, Jared Kushner. Mr. Manafort and Mr. Kushner recently disclosed the meeting, though not its content, in confidential government documents described to The New York Times.

The Times reported the existence of the meeting on Saturday. But in subsequent interviews, the advisers and others revealed the motivation behind it.

The meeting — at Trump Tower on June 9, 2016, two weeks after Donald J. Trump clinched the Republican nomination — points to the central question in federal investigations of the Kremlin’s meddling in the presidential election: whether the Trump campaign colluded with the Russians. The accounts of the meeting represent the first public indication that at least some in the campaign were willing to accept Russian help.
Of course they were. The problem is this story doesn't mesh with the Russian collusion narrative being espoused:
But on Sunday, presented with The Times’s findings, [Donald Trump Jr.] offered a new account. In a statement, he said he had met with the Russian lawyer at the request of an acquaintance from the 2013 Miss Universe pageant, which his father took to Moscow. “After pleasantries were exchanged,” he said, “the woman stated that she had information that individuals connected to Russia were funding the Democratic National Committee and supporting Mrs. Clinton. Her statements were vague, ambiguous and made no sense. No details or supporting information was provided or even offered. It quickly became clear that she had no meaningful information.”

He said she then turned the conversation to adoption of Russian children and the Magnitsky Act, an American law that blacklists suspected Russian human rights abusers. The 2012 law so enraged President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia that he halted American adoptions of Russian children.

“It became clear to me that this was the true agenda all along and that the claims of potentially helpful information were a pretext for the meeting,” Mr. Trump said.
Sadly, this story is nowhere near the story being told by the Leftist media:
American intelligence agencies have concluded that Russian hackers and propagandists worked to tip the election toward Donald J. Trump, in part by stealing and then providing to WikiLeaks internal Democratic Party and Clinton campaign emails that were embarrassing to Mrs. Clinton. WikiLeaks began releasing the material on July 22.
When you click on the link in the New York Times story, you end up at another New York Times story, "Putin Ordered ‘Influence Campaign’ Aimed at U.S. Election, Report Says", which says:
American intelligence officials have concluded that the president of Russia, Vladimir V. Putin, personally “ordered an influence campaign in 2016 aimed at the U.S. presidential election,” and turned from seeking to “denigrate” Hillary Clinton to developing “a clear preference for President-elect Trump.”

The conclusions were part of a declassified intelligence report, ordered by President Obama, that was released on Friday. Its main determinations were described to Mr. Trump by the nation’s top intelligence officials earlier in the day, and he responded by acknowledging, for the first time, that Russia had sought to hack into the Democratic National Committee’s computer systems. But he insisted that the effort had no effect on the election, and he said nothing about the conclusion that Mr. Putin, at some point last year, decided to aid his candidacy.
More importantly:
While [the intelligence report] accused Russian intelligence agencies of obtaining and maintaining “access to elements of multiple U.S. state or local electoral boards,” it concluded — as officials have publicly — that there was no evidence of tampering with the tallying of the vote on Nov. 8.
In other words, the election was valid, even if it wasn't what the New York Times wanted. In other words, from the original story, "Russian hackers and propagandists" FAILED "to tip the election toward Donald J. Trump". Even IF there was some kind of collusion, there was no impact from it.

Speaking of the New York Times:

Forbes:
Nothing to see here.

That's the baffling conclusion the editorial board of the New York Times reached after reading a University of Washington (UW) report that was critical of Seattle's major minimum wage increase.

Here's what the Times wrote this morning, in an editorial titled "Seattle Shows The Way To Higher Pay":
"...[It] seems safe to conclude that Seattle has tolerated its minimum wage increase well and that, by extension, other strong economies could do so."
To understand just how bizarre this conclusion is, contrast the board's rosy editorial with the conclusions of the UW authors. You don't have to dig to find them: They're in a summary on the first page of the empirical report, and in a two-page white paper that accompanies it.
  • Hours worked by affected employees fell by around nine percent
  • Affected employees' net earnings fell by $125 a month on average


It must be nice to live in New York Times World. Sadly, it isn't on this planet, or anywhere in this reality.

In other news...

The Intercept:
JUST AS THE HOUSE Republican bill to slash much of the Affordable Care Act moved forward, Rep. Mike Conaway, a Texas Republican and member of Speaker Paul Ryan’s leadership team, added a health insurance company to his portfolio.

An account owned by Conaway’s wife made two purchases of UnitedHealth stock, worth as much as $30,000, on March 24th, the day the legislation advanced in the House Rules Committee, according to disclosures. The exact value of Conaway’s investment isn’t clear, given that congressional ethics forms only show a range of amounts, and Conaway’s office did not respond to a request for comment. 
The article goes on to list several more examples of insider trading by politicians. For example:
He wasn’t the only one. As the health care system overhaul advanced last month on the other side of Capitol Hill, Republican Sen. James Inhofe of Oklahoma purchased between $50,000 to $100,000 in UnitedHealth stock.

“Sen. Inhofe has a financial [adviser] who makes transactions on his behalf and these transactions are disclosed as required by the STOCK Act,” Nicole Hage, Inhofe’s spokesperson, told The Intercept. “The transaction you reference was routine and made without the Senator’s prior knowledge or consultation.”
"Consultation" is the key word there. If the senator was to tell someone about their health insurance efforts, who then told his financial adviser, then technically Inhofe didn't "consult" with the adviser. It is funny how information gets from one place to another.