Wednesday, March 16, 2016

It's (almost) final: Clinton versus Trump

Yesterday's primaries didn't cement a victory in either political party, but they certainly made clear front runners who will be hard to beat the rest of the way.

On the Democratic side, it would take overwhelming victories by Bernie Sanders for him to even have a chance at beating Hillary Clinton. Even with California and New York still to come, I just don't see it happening for Sanders. Without superdelegates, Clinton is leading with 1,074 delegates to Sanders' 762. With superdelegates, she nearly doubles his count: 1,561-800.

On the Republican side, Trump got every state except Ohio, where also-ran John Kasich won his winner-take-all home state. Now, of Kasich's 138 delegates, almost half are from Ohio. On the other hand, Kasich did better than Marco Rubio, who lost his home state Florida to Trump.

Marco at least had the brains to read the writing on the wall. From RealClearPolitics:

Florida Sen. Marco Rubio suspends his presidential [campaign] at a speech in Miami following his loss to Donald Trump. 
"Most of all, I know first hand that ours is a special nation," Rubio said. "That's how I've decided that I too can run for president of the U.S.A.... From a political standpoint, the easiest thing to do in a campaign would be to jump on all those anxieties... to make people angrier, more frustrated. But I chose a different route and I am proud of it." 
"That would have been the easiest way to win, but it is not good for America," he continued. "The politics of resentment against other people will not just leave us a fractured party, it will leave us a fractured country." 
"Where we find ourselves at this point is not surprising, the warning signs were clear for close to a decade," Rubio said. "2010 the Tea Party wave carried me and others into office because not enough was happening, and that Tea Party gave Republicans a majority in the House but nothing changed. In 2014, that wave gave Republicans a majority the Senate and still nothing changed." 
"I blame some of that on the conservative movement. A movement that is supposed to be about our ideas. But I blame most of it on our political establishment, a political establishment that for far too long has looked down at conservatives as simple minded people... as bomb throwers." 
"A political establishment that has for far too long taken conservatives' votes for granted, and that has grown to confuse cronyism for capitalism and big business for free enterprise. I endeavored to bridge this divide... America needs a vibrant conservative movement, but one that is built on principles and ideas, not on anger, not on preying on peoples' frustrations..."

I would argue this is older than a decade, going back into Bush's presidency. For too long, Republicans have been a party of fiscal irresponsibility, spending like a teenager with dad's credit card. Now dad has the bill, and he is not the least bit happy. Think of Donald Trump as "dad getting his belt".

To be honest, Rubio caught the wave, but he never understood it. Of course, I don't think the average Trump voter understands it either. They just see the mess of our economy, and illegal Mexicans standing on the corner sucking up all the jobs. Unfortunately, the Trumpsters are putting 2 and 2 together and coming up with 22.

The TRUTH is that the illegal Mexicans are a symptom, not the disease. The true problem is crony capitalism which has corrupted the American government to it's core. When Rubio tried to get his amnesty bill through Congress, he was doing Wall Street's bidding. They want cheap labor, and they expect Washington to provide it. That was why the GOP establishment turned to Rubio when Jeb Bush failed. He was door #2.

So where will the GOP establishment turn next? They have four options: Embrace Trump, embrace a third party candidate, embrace Hillary (Wall Street would like that), or do nothing. My money is on them doing nothing. The GOP establishment would never endorse Hillary, ever. There is too much bad blood there. If the establishment ran a third party candidate, it would be obvious, and would split up the Republican Party. Finally, the GOP establishment would never support Trump (at least not privately, and any public support would be tepid), because they are too closely related to the Democrats in their views.

This is it folks: Hillary versus The Donald. These are the two best candidates this country has to offer.

God help us all.



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